Serosurvey of SARS-COV-2 at a large public university (preprint)

Arizona State University (ASU) is one the largest universities in the United States, with more than 79,000 students attending in-person classes. We conducted a seroprevalence study from September 13-17, 2021 to estimate the number of people in our community with SARS-CoV-2-specific antibodies due to previous exposure to SARS-CoV-2 and/or vaccination. Participants provided their age, gender, race, status (student or employee), and general COVID-19 health-related information like previous exposure and vaccination status. The seroprevalence of the anti-receptor binding domain (RBD) antibody was 90% by a lateral flow assay and 88% by a semi-quantitative chemiluminescent immunoassay. The seroprevalence for anti-nucleocapsid (NC) was 20%. In addition, individuals with previous natural COVID infection plus vaccination had higher anti-RBD antibody levels compared to those who had vaccination only or infection only. Individuals who had a breakthrough infection had the highest anti-RBD antibody levels. Accurate estimates of the cumulative incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection can inform the development of university risk mitigation protocols such as encouraging booster shots, extending mask mandates, or reverting to online classes. It could help us to have clear guidance to take action at the first sign of the next surge as well, especially since there is a surge of COVID subvariant infections.

Emergence of a SARS-CoV-2 E484K variant of interest in Arizona (preprint)

SARS-CoV-2 is locked in a high-stakes arms race between the dynamics of rising population immunity and escape mutations. The E484K mutation in the spike protein reduces neutralization by post-vaccination sera and monoclonal antibody therapeutics. We detected the emergence of an E484K harboring variant B.1.243.1 from a common circulating variant (B.1.243) in the United States. In contrast to other instances when the E484K mutation was acquired independently in the parental lineage, genomic surveillance indicates that the B.1.243.1 variant of interest is in the process of being established in Arizona and beginning to cross state borders to New Mexico and Texas. Genomic, epidemiologic and phylogenetic evidence indicates that the B.1.243.1 variant of interest is poised to emerge. These findings demonstrate the critical need to continue tracking SARS-CoV-2 in real-time to inform public health strategies, diagnostics, medical countermeasures and vaccines.